On Sunday, the Senate Minority Leader, Mitch McConnell, said that a deal was
close between Congress and the Obama administration on the debt ceiling. This is relieving news, especially with the deadline fast approaching on August 2nd, albeit meaning very little. The negotiations took place Saturday night, and resulted in a plan which will require no new taxes. The bill
will raise the ceiling by about $2.4 trillion in spending, the biggest
increase in history, but also cut the same amount over a 10 year period ($917 billion in the first phase, another $1.5 trillion in the second). The second $1.5 trillion cuts will be decided by a group of Senators, House members, and president (who has the ultimate veto power). Some are
calling this bipartisan committee the Council of 13 or Super Congress, with Ron Paul
sounding the alarm on his web site. Judge Napolitano also warned in an interview that this council is
unconstitutional because it doesn't permit "normal Congress" to change the bill, only to vote yes or no. Ergo the legislative branch essentially sold away their right to run the country. Measures in the bill
delay most austerity measures to 2014--minimizing the impact the deal will have on the economy in the near future, especially with Obama's reelection coming up in 2012. The Bush tax cuts are also set to
expire in 2012--a fact which the president hopes will cure the unease felt by some of his party members. Obama announced Sunday, "I want to urge members of both parties to do the right thing and support this deal with your votes over the next few days." With reports of a deal finally being finalized, stocks
jumped on Monday but quickly plunged with industry numbers
receding more than expected. The national factory activity was below the projected 54.9, resting at 50.9--a reading under 50 indicates negative growth. This was the
weakest showing in two years. The dollar remained at a
low against the Swiss Franc, with the rating agencies still contemplating
downgrading the U.S.'s Aaa rating. Moody's
confirmed the rating on Tuesday but also gave the country a negative outlook, warning that the politicians in Washington need to make further actions to curb the expanding debt. A downgrade would result in rising interests rates, that would increase borrowing costs to $100 billion each year. It would also make consumer debt more expensive. Perhaps more importantly, the Chinese rating agency Dagong
lowered the U.S. to an A with a negative outlook. Washington is now
anticipating the S&P will lower its debt grade. This does not bode well for longterm American debt. On Friday, the S&P officially
downgraded the U.S. debt to Aa, sending the financial industry into unknown waters when the Asian markets open Sunday morning. Congressmen who didn't support the bill, namely the tea partiers, were
called addicts and delusional by an MSNBC host, Martin Bashir, and Joe Biden declared that the conservatives were
terrorists earlier this week. This demonization of people is dangerous. When we want to start attacking people, we make them less than people--this sort of rhetoric can lead to Nazi Germany.
Politicians in Washington were clearly
wrong if they thought by raising the ceiling the financial situation would miraculously fix itself--with numbers from last quarter dead at 1.3%, and the growth of Q1 changed to 0.4%--leaving many Americans feeling like a double dip
recession is here, if it ever
ended. Factory growth also
faltered in Europe and Asia in July, with China's PMI drifting to 50.7 from 50.9 in June and export orders dropping in sync. Some analysts see China walking a fine line between inflation and growth--its pegged currency and glut of real estate could foment a dangerous scenario. Even in Germany factory activities are stalling, while the UK is preparing for
bad news on growth. Belgium, home of the capital of EU, Brussels, is facing troubles of its own, having
lasted 400 days without a government, and Israel is
readying for a debt downgrade, with S&P warning that there is 50% chance it will happen in 90 days (a similar threat that it gave the U.S.). Panic is
hitting Greece as the country prepares to selectively default under EU guidance. People are trying to pull money out of banks as fast as they can as Athens begins to look like Argentina in 2001. Greeks that can leave their country
are doing so in mass. They no longer trust their government is doing the right thing for their country and that it has sold out to an international banking cartel run by elites. The contagion is spreading quickly to countries like Spain and Italy, their bond yields
reaching new highs--standing at 6.45 and 6.25% respectively,
"their highest level in 14 years" and "Italy's stock index fell 2.5 percent to its lowest in more than 27 months, dragged down by banks that have heavy exposure to Italian debt. European shares hit a 9-month low amid worries that slowing economic growth will make it even harder to overcome the euro zone's debt troubles" (
Vagnoni and Mackenzie - Reuters). Berlusconi failed to calm fears Wednesday after a speech, with the eurozone crisis
teetering on the edge, and Italian prosecutors taking S&P and Moody's documents to
investigate their ratings. The CIO of Guggenheim Partners, Scott Minerd,
told CNBC Tuesday, that Europe is on the "brink of a major financial crisis" because its "basically doing the same thing thinking they're going to get a different outcome," and that we'll soon see a flight to US Treasury bills.
Ron Paul says the American debt deal, which is being touted as great news for the world economy,
fixes nothing and that the cuts the government is making is like promising you won't buy a Lamborghini. Paul's suggestion would be to freeze spending, since the U.S. government takes in $2.2 trillion a year in revenue, but spends $3.7 trillion. He added in another opposition piece that the deal, instead of cutting debt, actually
adds another $7 trillion because
$10 trillion in spending is authorized over a ten year period, but only $2 trillion is required to be cut. Essentially, the plan is a blank check for the federal government. With thunderous applause, the House passed the bill, after some fear that it may not have enough votes. As if she was a reincarnated goddess returning from the underworld, Giffords emerged from the doors in support of the bill, after being shot in the head last year. "So this is how liberty dies... with thunderous applause" Padmé Amidala lamented in Episode 3 as the Republic signed away its power to a dictator. Images of the Animatrix also pops in my head, with skeletons clapping enthusiastically after agreeing to black out the skies. The debt bill was signed into law by Obama on Tuesday, giving the Treasury an immediate
ability to borrow $400 billion, which officially
brought the US debt to over 100% of its GDP, the first time since 1947. Even so, stocks
slid over 1% the same day, with downgrade fears still
persisting because the bill passed only promised to cut half of what the S&P and Moody's were demanding. Obama later reflected on the crisis, "Our economy didn't need Washington to come along with a manufactured crisis to make things worse. That was in our hands. It's pretty likely that the uncertainty surrounding the raising of the debt ceiling for both businesses and consumers has been unsettling and just one more impediment to the full recovery that we need and it's something we could have avoided entirely." Several prognosticators are predicting gold to
rise to $3,000/oz and silver to $65/oz in the next 6 to 12 months because of the continuing uncertainty from Europe and America and heavy demand out of China. A Reuters article commented on South Korea's large
purchases of the precious even in the face of record high prices. With the only real way out of current spiral being inflation resulting from the printing of more money, commodities are a
great bet to secure your future, and many countries are doing just that,
including Russia, Thailand, the aforementioned South Korea, China, India, and even Greece.
Obama is like a European king or Roman Caesar--he parties as the serfs suffer. I picture a court with jesters juggling, midgets dancing, and sword eaters eating swords--Obama sits on his golden throne, a high chair with spikes along the top to represent sun rays. A servant feeds him grapes as he laughs and cheers, clapping his hands in delight. Outside his castle, people are digging holes in the mud and shouting "bring out your dead!" The country is on fire and Obama is either out-of-tune with the average American's plight, or he simply doesn't care. His 50th birthday bash is being
prepared in Chicago, with helicopters flying over the city Wednesday morning, and will take place in the
Aragon Ballroom in Uptown. It will showcase Jennifer Hudson, Herbie Hancock and OK Go for $50 or a max
donation of $35,800. It seems Obama is doing a bit of early campaigning--but how much at the expense of the taxpayer? The Aragon costs
$40,000 a night, and you can pay an extra $10,000 to get a picture with you and the president! Pat Brady, a Illinoisan Republican chairman said on Tuesday, "We're nearing a double-dip recession. We've lost 125,000 jobs here in Illinois just since he took office." The GOP is
lambasting Obama, saying that this expensive outing should instead be used to help Americans with unemployment and the only job Obama cares about his own. They are taking pot-shots at an easy target, like shooting fish in a barrel. For some reason, I can't get the image of Prince Ali making his way to the Sultan's court. He rides on an elephant, surrounded by women and magicians. He smiles and waves and the crowd swoons. Trumpets blare. Singers sing, "Make way for Prince Ali" like in the Disney film. And why shouldn't he be partying? He just made out with one of the biggest power grabs in American history as well as a blank check to spend as much as he wants before the 2012 elections. Perhaps the Eastern king symbol isn't too far off--the Russian president Dmitry Medvedev called Obama on Wednesday to
wish him a happy birthday. One thing led to another, and they're talking about Russia joining the World Trade Organisation--another victory for globalisation! Party time!
On Thursday, the Dow
sharply fell over 300 points to 11,589, a 2% slide and the worse
since December 2008. Another laughable government statistic released showed that the number of weekly applications
dipped to 400,000--this is after they adjusted the week prior's to 401,000 from 398,000--the tally has been over 400k for 17 straight weeks. The government can claim anything as long as they fix it sometime afterward it appears. Apparently these statistics are
proving that the economy is recovering, when in fact, the stocks prices are showing otherwise. Across the nation, people are suffering, feeling the walls coming in around them, the despair of losing a job, of not having enough money to pay back a loved one's treatment. In Bellview, California, a renter
took the AC from the home and sold the parts for $18. From reports these reports, it appears the Golden State really is receiving a beating. A bronze statue of a dog in nearby San Franscisco has some speculating it was
stolen for a quick buck, and in Apple Valley, California, school bleachers were
grabbed for their aluminum. Food stamp use has a
record 45.8 million users, almost 1/6 of the U.S. population, and they tell us the economy is improving? The Postal Service is close to defaulting, warning that it wouldn't be able to
pay obligations to the federal government soon. Gerald Celente
warns in his
Trends Journal for summer 2011 that it is only a matter of time before another terror attack happens in the US: "What will another major terror strike mean? Should an attack hit one of the major NATO nations, the effects, this time, will go global. Bank holidays will be called, the US and other fragile economies will crumble, gold and silver will soar, and already-troubled currencies will crash. Economic martial law will be declared. Introduced as a temporary measure, once in place it will remain in place (like the curfews and draconian security precautions installed by despots and dictators everywhere). Civil rights will be suspended and, particularly in America, Homeland Security, already intolerably intrusive, will achieve an Orwellian omnipresence." Could this Council of Six or Super Congress be just another step on the way to complete 1984-esque control of the country? The Obama administration is certainly
stepping up gun grabbing, with the ATF demanding that gun shops report to them if someone buys more than one firearm in Texas, New Mex, Az, and Nev. This measure is, if not unconstitutional, illegal. There is no law written down that they can force any shop owner to do this. Shocking news from El Paso
indicates that the feds may have let a drug cartel move cocaine for information on other gangs. The hypocracy of the government is disgusting. They can
create strange new weapons like a pain ray, "screaming microwaves that pierce the skull, and
"mobile biometrics", and facilitate arms and drugs crossing the Mexican border illegally, but they want to control our use of weapons.
An Infowars article by Kurt Nimmo reports that Michael Hayden, a former higher up in the NSA and CIA, is calling on a "Digital Blackwater" to
patrol the internet. With groups like Anonymous and LulzSec calling all out war on elitist activities, even posting Nato communications after
hacking a U.S. cyber supplier, and trying to
shine the light on the Bohemian Grove last month, the higher ups are starting to get increasingly nervous of the power of the internet. Reports on Wednesday say that Governments, IOC, and UN
were the victim of an unprecedented cyber attack, claims McAfee. This time the blame is falling China, which has denied such allusions in the past. Americans should worry that these attacks could be used as reasons for tighter controls on the internet from the Federal Government.
In Syria, 80 activists were
killed in the city of Hama on Sunday when the regime tanks and snipers started firing on civilians. Countries in the West feigned horror, with Obama lamenting that "the reports out of Hama are horrifying and demonstrate the true character of the Syrian regime," and France and the UK also condemning the actions. Italy called for for a statement from the UN Security Council. However, countries like Russia, China, South Africa, India, and Brazil have so far blocked actions by the UN. They are afraid that by condoning such measures may give NATO the go ahead for military action like it did in Libya. The casualties in Hama are particularly significant because it was this city where Bashir's father, Hafez, crushed the resistance almost 30 years ago. One activist, Yasser Saadeldine, said, "Assad is trying to resolve the matter before Ramadan when every daily fasting prayer threatens to become another Friday (of post-prayer protests). But he is pouring oil on a burning fire and now the Hama countryside is rising in revolt." The attack on Hama
continued on Monday and killed at least four more civilians, bringing the total to 84. According to DEBKAfile, an Israeli voice piece, Assad is now
waging war on a 20,000 square kilometer area (about the size of Israel), on the "the 3.5 million inhabitants of Hama, Deir al-Zour, Homs, Idlib and Ar-Raqqah." The death toll of this expansive region Sunday was 150, with dark clouds rising over the dissident city of Hama. The article reports that Assad's confidence was bolstered by the resignation of Turkish Military Officials and the failure of the U.S. to act after a debt deal was made, with "urgent White House requests Sunday night to Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan to send into northern Syria the Turkish units held ready on the border for two months to establish a protected zone for refugees and the growing number of Syrian army deserters seeking asylum. Operational plans for this incursion had been in place for some weeks, ready for execution as soon Assad launched a general offensive against the opposition" (
Debka). Other Arab countries have remained silent on the Syrian bloothbath, except for the outspoken country Qatar, where al-Jazeera is based, which continued the freezing of the country's assets. Another Debka article reports that Russia has gone out of its way to defend Assad, but at the same time wishes to halt Iran's reach for a nuclear weapon, writing "Russia will block a strong UN Security Council resolution condemning its ally Syrian President Bashar Assad for his brutal crackdown on dissent, thereby shutting the door to approval of Libya-style outside military intervention. Tehran will reciprocate by cooperating with the Russian plan for solving the nuclear controversy along the lines proposed by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in mid-May: '…each time when Tehran satisfactorily answers the questions or concerns of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), it should be encouraged, including some sanctions should be frozen,' he suggested" (
Debka). The UN Security Council finally passed a resolution Wednesday, condeming Assad's actions against his own people, however sanctions can't be applied--the Council is not a stepping stone for future measures. The Syrian opposition claimed the measure was too little, too late. A leader of the demonstrators, Ausama Monajed, said, "After more than 2,100 people were killed, is this the language we want to see from the United Nations Security Council? Do we need to wait for a million people to be slaughtered on the streets of Syria before the international community takes action? We are watching another Rwanda take place, another Darfur, another Kosovo and the international community is doing nothing." A Thursday article
reported that "people were being slaughtered like sheep" with young boy being run over by a tank on a motorcycle. The death tally may be as high as 250 killed this week.
The US and Saudi Arabia
are looking into an "India-style" nuclear pact, with fears of Iran's growing influence in the region. Iran's arms are reaching around the Middle East's largest country, with the Persians waging a proxy war in Yemen and gaining more control in Iraq. The Saudis are growing increasingly fearful that Iran will obtain a nuclear weapon, forever changing the power dynamic between the two. This report is unsurprising, but it is also here where Osama in Laden hails and gave birth to many of the extremists responsible for 911. Iran, the country with the second largest oil capacity in Opec, has a growing role in the cartel. A commander in the Iranian revolutionary guards, Rostam Ghasemi,
was made president of Opec. He has had sanctions on his head from the U.S., EU, and Australia. Some see this as a move by Admedinejad to heal ties between the Ayatollah, who controls the guard, and will also allow the guard unprecedented control over the cartel and the world's oils prices. In Egypt, the army
broke up the protests in Tahir Square on Monday. The demonstrators, who are angry with the regime they see as a continuation of the former president's government and the delayed trials for officials and police who ordered and carried out the attacks on protesters in the winter and spring, also showed a more conservative element, making commentators worry that the country may start seriously considering Shia law. Mubarak himself has acknowledged that he will appear in court later this week and did on Wednesday. He was rolled out in a bed and
placed in an iron cage on live television, a common practice in the Middle East. His sons, Alaa and Gamal, and several other accused officials were also with him. Mubarak
denied the claims made against him. For the last few months the 83 year-old has been held in the resort town of Sharm el Sheikh by the Red Sea, but after the proceeding the judge said he would be transported to a hospital in Cairo. These trials are significant because it is the first public hearing of a leader who was ousted during the Arab Spring and was watched closely across the Middle East. In Libya, another country still realing from protests, Seif al-Islam el-Gaddafi, Muammar's son, said in an interview that he will try to form ties with Islamists. “The liberals will escape or be killed,” he said “We will do it together. Libya will look like Saudi Arabia, like Iran. So what?” Will the Arab Spring give birth to more liberal democracies, or will see Shia law gripping futher into the Muslim periphery?
In Russia, Putin
blasted the US as a "parasite" on the world economy, living beyond its means, and capitalizing on the dollar monopoly. He called for a new reserve currency, on what many see as early campaigning before his run for presidency in 2012. Relations between the US and Russia had seen an improvement when Medvedev took over Putin's office in 2009; however, things have recently been souring with a bill in the US Congress condemning Russia's human rights record. The Eastern country has said it would stop cooperating with the US on Iran and Afghanistan if the bill passed, and even pulled back on its negotiations with Libya. A Washington Times article claims that the Russians have stepped up harassing U.S. diplomats in former Soviet countries, saying that some have "found their homes broken into and vandalized, or altered in ways as trivial as bathroom use; faced anonymous or veiled threats; and in some cases found themselves set up in compromising photos or videos that are later leaked to the local press and presented as a sex scandal" (
Eli Lake - WT). Will the Arab Spring spread to Israel? Most municipalities in the Mediterranean country decided to recognize the protests as legitimate and
declared a strike. The demonstrators are angry about the high price of housing. Netanyahu and the Israeli Treasury are at each other's throats about how to proceed, with the Finance Ministry Director Haim Shani resigning from his office. Israel is one of the last true bastions of stability in the Middle East, if it goes under, who knows where the dominoes will fall.